References

religion

Государство, религия, церковь в России и за рубежом

State, Religion and Church in Russia and Worldwide

2073-72032073-7211

РАНХиГС

10.22394/2073-7203-2022-40-4-9-49

religion-153

Research Article

ГЛАВНАЯ ТЕМА: РЕЛИГИЯ И РОЖДАЕМОСТЬ

THE THEME OF THE ISSUE: RELIGION AND FERTILITY

Влияние религии на рождаемость: обзор современных демографических исследований

The Role of Religion for Fertility: An Overview of Contemporary Studies

Казенин

К.

Kazenin

Константин Казенин — директор;

старший научный сотрудник

Москва

Konstantin Kazenin — Director of the Center for Regional Studies and Urbanism of the Institute of Applied Economic Research;

Senior Researcher

Moscow

konstantinkazenin@gmail.com

Муракаев

М.

Murakaev

Максим Муракаев — аспирант

Москва

Maksim Murakaev — PhD Student

Moscow

murakayev993@gmail.com

Центр региональных исследований и урбанистики Института прикладных экономических исследований РАНХиГС; ИЭП имени Е. Т. ГайдараРоссияRANEPA; Gaidar Institute for Economic PolicyRussian Federation

Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияHSE UniversityRussian Federation

2022

22022025

404949

2025

Казенин К., Муракаев М.

Kazenin K., Murakaev M.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://religion.ranepa.ru/jour/article/view/153

Статья представляет собой обзор основных результатов исследований роли религии для рождаемости за последние пять десятилетий, когда эта тема стала одной из центральных в мировой демографии. Охарактеризованы три основные гипотезы о связи рождаемости с религией: гипотеза характеристик, гипотеза норм и гипотеза меньшинств. Обсуждаются эмпирические данные, послужившие основой для трех гипотез при их первоначальном выдвижении. Далее в свете этих гипотез систематически рассматриваются исследования влияния религии на рождаемость в странах Европы и Северной Америки во второй половине XX — начале XXI в. Показано, что фокус исследований роли религии для рождаемости существенно изменился в процессе так называемого Второго демографического перехода. В этом контексте интерес исследователей сместился от различий по рождаемости между конфессиями к роли факторов личной религиозности для репродуктивного поведения. Рассматриваются результаты количественных исследований, анализирующих роль этих факторов как для реальной рождаемости, так и для репродуктивных намерений.

The paper observes key results of the studies of the relationship be‑ tween religion and fertility in Europe and North America during the last five decades, when this problem attracted serious interest from demographers. Three central hypotheses about this relationship are discussed: the “characteristics hypothesis,” the “norms hypothesis” and the “minorities hypothesis.” Empirical data which initially sup‑ ported each of these hypotheses are presented. The paper then gives a brief overview of fertility trends in Europe and North America in the second half of the twentieth — the beginning of the twenty-first centuries. It is shown that the focus of studies of fertilitytoreligion relation changed considerably in the process of the “second demographic transition”, a complex transformation of values and family patterns in economically developed countries in the last third of the twentieth century. The focus of research shifted accordingly from fertility differences between religions/denominations to the role of personal religiosity as a variable. Then we overview the results of quantitative studies focused on the role of personal religiosity as a factor in both actual fertility and fertility intentions.

религиярождаемостьЕвропаСеверная Америкадемографический переход

religionfertilityEuropeNorth Americademographic transition

Статья отражает результаты исследования, выполненного в рамках государственного задания РАНХиГС. Исследование М.Муракаева осуществлено в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.